Vistra Corp.
NYSE:VST · New York Stock Exchange
+$1.64 today
Vol 4.35M · Avg 4.60M
Intrinsic Value
VST Intrinsic Value
Start with the valuation result. Compare the current market price with the system DCF estimate, then use the supporting sections below to decide whether the assumptions are reasonable.
Vistra Corp.
NYSE:VST · Consensus of 4 models
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Valuation History
Is VST cheaper or more expensive than usual?
Review how the market has valued Vistra Corp. over time before deciding whether today’s discount or premium is unusual.
Price History
Dividend-adjusted closing price
Change
-16.04%
Period High
$217.32
Period Low
$134.71
Latest
$148.02
Analyst Targets
See where analysts expect VST to trade next
Compare the latest consensus target range with the current share price to understand how much upside or downside Wall Street is pricing in.
Wall Street Price Targets
1-year price history with analyst consensus target
Current
$148.02
Low Target
$190.00
Avg Target
$227.78
High Target
$293.00
Upside (Avg)
+53.88%
Alternatives to VST
Compare Vistra Corp. with similar companies
A stock can look attractive in isolation and still be less compelling than a peer. Check competitors before committing to the thesis.
Competitors
Peer companies in the same sector
Duke Energy Corporation
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$97.43B
National Grid plc
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$81.44B
American Electric Power Company, Inc.
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$70.31B
Sempra
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$60.33B
Dominion Energy, Inc.
NYSE:D
$59.73B
Entergy Corporation
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$50.88B
Xcel Energy Inc.
NASDAQ:XEL
$49.45B
Exelon Corporation
NASDAQ:EXC
$47.28B
Public Service Enterprise Group Incorporated
NYSE:PEG
$39.72B
NRG Energy, Inc.
NYSE:NRG
$26.47B
Fundamental Analysis
Capture the investment case and test company quality
Write down the key idea, risks, and what would change your mind. Then review growth, profitability, returns, owner payouts, and insider activity.
My Notes
Journal entries for VST
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Quality Snapshot
Start with the numbers that compound value
Check whether earnings, revenue, equity, cash, and returns on capital are moving in the same direction as your written thesis.
Big Five Numbers
CAGR by period · ROIC shows average
| Metric | 10yr | 5yr | 3yr | 1yr |
|---|---|---|---|---|
EPS | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
Revenue | N/A | N/A | -3.8% | -2.1% |
Equity | N/A | -4.7% | -10.3% | -32.3% |
Cash | N/A | N/A | +4.2% | -39.8% |
ROIC | 2.3% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 8.7% |
Analysis
Latest growth is strongest in ROIC at 8.7% and weakest in Cash at -39.8%. Three-year average ROIC is 3.4%, which helps show whether that growth is being earned efficiently.
Growth Profile
Compare historical growth with forward expectations
Strong past growth matters more when analysts still expect the business to expand without relying on one temporary driver.
Growth Analysis
Historical CAGR & forward analyst estimates
| Metric | 10yr | 5yr | 3yr | Fwd Est. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| EPS | N/A | N/A | N/A | -8.0% (14yr)3 analysts |
| Revenue | N/A | N/A | -3.8% | +12.2% (14yr)5 analysts |
| Net Income | N/A | N/A | N/A | -9.5% (14yr)5 analysts |
| EBIT | N/A | N/A | +49.6% | +16.3% (14yr)5 analysts |
Analysis
Recent growth has been strongest in EBIT at +49.6% over three years. Forward estimates point to EBIT at +16.3% (14yr), giving you a quick check on whether expectations are accelerating or cooling.
Earnings Quality
Follow revenue through to net income
Use the waterfall to see which costs, margins, and operating lines explain how much of each sales dollar becomes profit.
Stock Ticker Earnings Waterfall
NYSE:VST · Revenue to Net Income
Key Ratios
Analysis
$16.2B of revenue converted into $2.2B of net income for the selected period. Gross margin is 4.1% and net margin is 13.2%, showing how much revenue survives after costs and taxes. EPS is $6.01, tying the income statement back to per-share earnings.
Capital Efficiency
Measure how well Vistra Corp. turns capital into returns
Returns on equity, invested capital, and assets help separate durable operators from businesses that only grow by adding more capital.
Return Metrics
ROE, ROIC & ROA over time
ROE
18.5%
avg 39.4%
ROIC
3.3%
avg 4.8%
ROA
2.3%
avg 11.8%
Analysis
ROE is currently the strongest return metric at 18.5% versus its period average of 39.4%. 1 of 3 return metrics are above their quality threshold, which helps indicate how efficiently the company turns capital and assets into profit.
Owner Returns
Review how cash comes back to shareholders
Dividends, buybacks, and debt paydown show whether excess cash is being reinvested, returned, or used to strengthen the balance sheet.
Shareholder Returns
Dividend, buyback & debt paydown yields
Dividend Yield (TTM)
0.99%
Buyback Yield (TTM)
3.18%
Debt Paydown (TTM)
0.99%
Total Yield (TTM)
5.15%
Analysis
Total TTM shareholder yield is 5.15% including 0.99% from debt paydown. The largest current contributor is buybacks at 3.18%, which helps show whether capital returns are coming from direct cash payouts, share count reduction, or balance sheet cleanup.
Dividend Record
Check payout durability before counting on yield
A dividend is more useful when growth, payout ratio, and free cash flow support the current yield.
Dividends
Dividend history, growth & yield
Yield
0.61%
Annual Div/Share
$0.91
Payout Ratio
22.0%
Frequency
Quarterly
Shareholder Yield
3.06%
Next Ex-Date
Jun 22, 2026
Next Payment
$0.23 · Jun 30, 2026
1Y Growth
+2.7%
3Y CAGR
+6.4%
5Y CAGR
+9.7%
Dividend Payments, Annual Total (TTM) & Yield
Analysis
The current indicated dividend yield is 0.61%, with TTM dividends of $0.91 per share. Three-year dividend growth is +6.4%, which helps show whether payouts are compounding or flattening. The payout ratio is 22.0%, so compare payout growth against earnings coverage. Payments are currently quarterly.
Company Overview
Understand how Vistra Corp. makes money
Finish by grounding the numbers in the company profile, leadership, balance sheet, and free cash flow.
Key Information
Leadership
Put the business in management context
Company facts explain what Vistra Corp. does; leadership context helps you judge who is responsible for capital allocation and execution.
Management
Key executives, compensation & ownership
| Name | Title | Compensation | Tenure | Age | Shares Owned | Ownership % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
James A. Burke | President, Chief Executive Officer & Director | $4.56M | — | 58 | $21,321.00 | <0.01% |
Stacey H. Dore | Chief Strategy and Sustainability Officer & Executive Vice President of Public Affairs | $1.56M | — | 53 | $188,369.00 | 0.06% |
Scott A. Hudson | Executive Vice President & President of Retail | $1.53M | — | 62 | $21,321.00 | <0.01% |
Kristopher E. Moldovan | Executive Vice President & Chief Financial Officer | $1.51M | — | 54 | $68,852.00 | 0.02% |
Stephanie Zapata Moore | Executive Vice President, General Counsel & Chief Compliance Officer | $1.35M | — | 53 | $114,409.00 | 0.03% |
Eric Micek | Vice President of Investor Relations | — | — | — | — | — |
Steven van Tuijl | Regional Managing Director of Continental Europe | — | — | — | — | — |
Tom Farrah | Senior Vice President & Chief Information Officer | — | — | — | — | — |
Amanda DonCarlos | Senior VP & Chief Human Resources Officer | — | — | — | — | — |
Margaret Montemayor | Senior Vice President, Chief Accounting Officer & Controller | — | — | 48 | $9,760.00 | <0.01% |
Sano Blocker | Senior Vice President of Government Affairs | — | — | — | — | — |
Insider Trading
SEC Form 4 transactions — last 12 months
Buys
0
$0.00
Sells
53
$167.11M
Net Sentiment
$167.11M
Net selling
Most Active
BURKE JAMES A
47 transactions
1–10 of 53
Analysis
Insiders reported 0 buys worth $0.00 and 53 sells worth $167.11M over the last 12 months. That adds up to net selling of $167.11M. BURKE JAMES A was the most active insider with 47 transactions.
Financial Position
Check what supports the company underneath the income statement
The balance sheet shows liquidity, debt, asset mix, and book value quality before you rely on earnings or growth assumptions.
Balance Sheet
Assets, liabilities & equity
| Cash & Equivalents | $671.0M |
| Receivables | $2.0B |
| Inventory | $1.0B |
| Other Current | $5.3B |
| Total Current Assets | $9.0B |
| PP&E (Net) | $19.9B |
| Goodwill | $2.8B |
| Intangible Assets | $2.4B |
| Long-term Investments | $5.4B |
| Tax Assets | $239.0M |
| Other Non-current | $1.6B |
| Total Non-current Assets | $32.3B |
| Total Assets | $41.3B |
Analysis
Selected assets total $41.3B for Latest. The largest visible component is PP&E (Net) at $19.9B, about 48.1% of the tab total. Use the mix to judge balance sheet concentration, liquidity, leverage, and how much of book value is supported by tangible operating assets.
Cash Generation
Finish by testing whether profit turns into cash
Free cash flow connects accounting earnings to owner earnings, showing how much cash remains after reinvestment needs.
Free Cash Flow
Net Income to FCF bridge
Analysis
Analysis will appear once cash flow data is available for this period.
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